Market View: Monday, March 30, 2026
The US dollar index holds strength above 100; gold holds support at $4,500; EURUSD shows weak price action, sliding below 1.15000; Bitcoin is volatile but holds above the $67,000 level.
- The US dollar has surplused 2.6% month-to-date, attempting to reach March highs at 100.53 again.
- XAUUSD is likely to start a downward move as the Iran war starts escalating.
- The euro is repricing weaker fundamentals, causing a further downturn of EURUSD.
- Bitcoin seems to front-run future liquidity, but without the actual one, its rallies lack follow-throughs.
FX snapshot
XAUUSD
Although gold rebounded from $4,100 to $4,500 due to dip-buyers, it is unlikely the metal could defend this resistance as the hostilities intensify in the Middle East.
EURUSD
The pair is still under pressure, staying negatively sensitive to rising oil prices.
BTC
Bitcoin is not experiencing strong selling pressure despite the risk-off tone.
| Pair | Key support | Key resistance | Bias |
| XAUUSD | 4,400 | 4,600 | Correctively bearish |
| EURUSD | 1.14600 | 1.15000 | Bearish |
| BTC | 66,000 | 69,000 | Range-bound |
Market sentiment
The market is caught between high rates and geopolitics, staying tense and cautious. It avoids taking big bets so far, waiting for clarity.
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